The known knowns and the known unknownsThe embedded document gives a conservative prediction as to what is known as to who will win in what districts and what is unknown as of the end of April.
The Known knowns
March 8 have 46 seats that are safely theirs and 9 that are probable = 55 seats
March 14 have 44 seats that are safely theirs and 11 that are probable = 55 seats
The known unknowns
There are going to be 38 seats in all that are going to be competitive and 18 that are really completely unknown as to who will win.
Predictions for the Elections 2009
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